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Imminent threat that could lead to the downfall of the United States

The United States faces many threats: debt, inflation, civil war, climate change… But a terrifying threat may be imminent and lead to the collapse of the United States, in a historical turning point comparable to 1945.

2024: A decisive year for the United States

This year, 2024, is an election year. Everyone is more concerned than ever about the future of the American people. Doomsday predictions are succeeding at a furious pace on social media.

Progressives fear that Donald Trump will destroy democracy, declare himself a dictator and establish fascism with the help of the Supreme Court.

Conservatives are concerned border, immigration and the transgender movementmumbling something about civil war.

Leftists are breaking their hands over climate apocalypse.

Centrists criticize America’s paperwork tangle and inertia, while libertarians predict hyperinflation and the collapse of the dollar.

In the background, everyone worries about China and the risk of war. About World War III.

Existential threats

Most of these events are the result of the typical American tendency to catastrophize everything.

If you go back and read what people have written in any decade of our history, you will see that there have always been many warnings of imminent doom.

I think that even if such behavior is undoubtedly irritating, it can be very useful, because it is good to solve problems before they become serious, and a rich country with well-functioning institutions is characterized by a lot of inertia.

The dangers of internal unrest, civil war, and authoritarianism appear to have passed, despite Trump’s likely election this fall.

The economy will probably do well, but public debt is a huge and inevitable problem that can hit hard if mishandled.

If most insider threats are less serious than they seem, The external threats facing the United States are serious and getting more serious.

The United States is facing an axis of larger, more productive and more technologically advanced enemies than those she has faced so far and which are ideologically focused on reducing the wealth, stability, and autonomy of the United States.

United States at risk of war

If the United States does not respond vigorously to this new axis, we risk that it will end in disaster, is this a failure of the United States in a second Cold War or a third world war that we will not be able to prevent.

This danger makes America’s domestic problems much more serious than they would otherwise be, because These internal disputes can weaken America and prevent it from confronting real threats.

Democracy in danger

Donald Trump has extremely anti-democratic instinctsHe denied the results of the free and fair elections he lost in 2020, encouraging a crowd of his supporters to physically storm the Capitol to try to prevent the election from being ratifiedand will almost certainly pardon those convicted of this coup attempt.

Trump believes that every election he loses is illegitimate. There is nothing more anti-democratic than that.

Biden’s age made Trump the favorite, and Biden’s only viable successor is Kamala Harris, who is deeply unpopular.

Once he came to power, Trump will somewhat weaken American democracy by attempting to strengthen presidential immunity. Indeed, he committed many crimes and would prefer not to be prosecuted and convicted for these crimes.

Even if Trump undoubtedly has no respect for democracy, his victory will not turn America into an autocratic or fascist state.

The Health of the US Economy

Overall, the U.S. economy remains in excellent shape, with employment remaining near record highs and inflation falling to permissible level of approximately 3%.

Wealth is rising, the younger generation is significantly wealthier than their parents were at the same age, and inequality in income and wealth appears to be plateauing.

The United States is growing much faster than other rich economies and could even keep pace with China.

It’s true that financing a home purchase is more expensive these days, but interest rates are not at historic highs and most people don’t buy homes every year anyway.

Meanwhile, most of the doomsayers’ predictions about an economic collapse in the years after the pandemic have turned out to be false.

When In early 2023, several mid-sized regional banks went bankrupt due to rising interest ratesThe government simply intervened and guaranteed deposits for a while, and the whole crisis was forgotten a month later.

Inflation did not rise sharply thanks to the Federal Reserve’s decision to raise interest rates.

Migration risk

When it comes to immigration, everyone is worried about the influx of asylum seekers crossing the border.

This problem will not be solved until The United States is changing its asylum law to prevent people who crossed the border illegally from applying for asylum.

Executive action today is being taken in a bipartisan manner.

Biden is now as strong on immigration as Trump was.

The burden of debt

The United States seems to be able to cope economically.

But there is one extremely worrying economic issue, which is sovereign debt.

The rise in interest rates has caused a sharp increase in the interest paid by the government. The obvious solution is severityBut neither side seems particularly interested in austerity, and Trump seems particularly reluctant to take the necessary action.

Instead, Trump will likely press the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates to support economic growth while reducing the interest the government pays.

But if he succeeds, it could result in inflationary spiral. The fact that inflation remains above its long-term target suggests that there are hidden upward pressure on prices, which are currently being suppressed by 5% interest ratesIf this cover is removed, The consequences could be very painful for America.

Russian-Chinese axis

There is a threat that the United States cannot ignore, what constitutes a threat from the China/Russia axis.

The obvious threat is the outbreak of war between the United States and China, or over Taiwan or over PhilippinesUS allies.

It would be World War III even if it did not result in an exchange of nuclear fire.

There is a high probability that America will lose this war. The American manufacturing sector, especially its the defense industrial base has withered, while China now dominates the world.

Any war that has lasted longer than two weeks – which is the case with most wars – would strongly favor the country capable of producing more ships, missiles, drones, and ammunition. That country is China.

If China were to invade Taiwan, it is unlikely to risk U.S. intervention to prevent it. This means that China will most likely preemptively attack US bases in the region.

Towards a New Pearl Harbor

Even if President Trump intended to defend Taiwan, The sudden and unjustified deaths of thousands of American soldiers in a Pearl Harbor-style attack would make public pressure for war irresistible.

The only thing the United States could achieve if it did not prepare adequately for such a war would be to increase the likelihood they fail quickly and miserably at the beginning.

These dreams will outlive Xi and Putin. Both China and Russia realize this, Trump or not, The United States of America is their greatest rival and the greatest long-term threat to their imperial ambitions.

The new Russian-Chinese axis will therefore seek to weaken the United States by all possible means in order to reduce the threat.

How the Russian-Chinese Axis Will Attack the United States

In order to completely neutralize the long-term threat posed by America, these countries will want impoverish the American economy, sabotage its infrastructure, and disrupt internal social and political stability.

To impoverish America will have to be cut off from trade or forced to trade on unfavorable terms.

China and Russia will therefore try to achieve this by controlling global trade routes.

The United States and its democratic allies are currently losing the information war.

America has shown some signs of awakening by adopting a bill ordering China to sell TikTok to an American companybut Trump will try to sabotage the divestment bill as soon as he comes to power.

China and Russia are deeply unpopular with the American public, but most Americans focus on partisan political conflicts and economic issues. The broader geopolitical rivalry with China and Russia is not something most Americans see, much less understand the consequences of losing.

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Satosh

Every day I try to enrich my knowledge of this revolution that allows humanity to progress in the fight for freedom.